Episode 188

How Real Estate Agents Can Build Lasting Wealth Through Multifamily Syndication (with Rob Beardsley)

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If the multifamily market has felt brutal for the past few years, you’re not imagining it. Cap rates moved against owners, interest rates climbed, and a 50-year peak in apartment construction flooded the Sunbelt with new supply. But according to Rob Beardsley — founder of Lone Star Capital (LSCRE) and author of The Definitive Guide to Underwriting Multifamily Acquisitions — that pain is exactly why the next five years could be one of the best windows real estate agents have ever had to build lasting wealth as passive investors. In this episode of the REI Agent Podcast, Rob breaks down how syndications actually work, the underwriting red flags every agent should know before writing a check, and why the projected return on a sponsor’s spreadsheet is almost the least important number in the deal.

Why is multifamily so painful right now — and why does Rob think that’s an opportunity?

Rob doesn’t sugarcoat the last few years. “We’re going through a classic cycle,” he says. Property-level fundamentals weakened at the exact moment capital markets turned hostile: interest rates climbed, cap rates expanded, and lenders tightened underwriting standards. Investors who used aggressive debt — especially short-term bridge loans — got caught holding deals at rates they never modeled for. “A lot of people anticipated a V-shaped recovery,” he explains. “It was ‘survive to ‘25,’ then ‘maybe heaven in ‘27.’ This is not a V-shape. This is a long, prolonged reset where interest rates and cap rates are fundamentally just higher.”

But Rob’s framing of the moment is what real estate agents should pay attention to. He points to the classic investing wisdom drawn from Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds: be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. Consumer sentiment, he notes, is currently at an all-time low — lower than during the Great Financial Crisis and lower than during COVID — even though the economy is not in crisis. That mismatch, in his view, is the tell. Cap rates that compressed below 4% during the 2021 peak are now closer to 6% on the same kind of assets. He’s not predicting they snap back to 4%, but he is making a clear case that buyers who step in at today’s higher cap rates and longer holding periods are positioned to benefit from both compression and rent growth when the cycle turns.

What does a realistic multifamily syndication actually look like for a passive investor?

Rob’s elevator pitch for what LSCRE does is deliberately plain: “My company invests in multifamily properties. We deliver monthly cash flow and peace of mind through tax-advantaged multifamily investments.” In practice, LSCRE manages roughly 6,000 apartment homes across Texas with a vertically integrated team — property management, construction management, and asset management all in-house — and a 200-plus-person organization built around institutional-quality suburban properties.

For a real estate agent investor, the structure is genuinely passive. The minimum investment is $100,000, which Rob notes is standard for the industry. Before closing, sponsors provide a pitch deck, a Private Placement Memorandum (PPM) with disclosures and risk factors, an operating agreement, and a live webinar to answer questions. LSCRE typically raises $20 to $30 million per deal and closes about four deals a year. After closing, monthly ACH distributions begin within about a month, alongside a monthly update that includes a trailing 12-month P&L, rent roll, balance sheet, cash flow statement, and a plain-English narrative on what’s actually happening at the property.

Rob describes a typical cash flow ramp: starting around 5% distributions in year one, growing toward 6, 7, or 8% over the hold. The target hold is five to seven years, and a “good” projected outcome is roughly a 2x equity multiple in five years — about a 15% IRR. On a $100,000 investment, that translates to roughly $200,000 over five years counting distributions and profit at sale.

Why is a syndication an especially good fit for a real estate agent?

Rob makes the case bluntly: “It definitely makes a lot of sense for everybody. But when we zoom into a realtor, it becomes even more poignant.” Three reasons stack on top of each other. First, agents already have context. The single biggest barrier for new passive investors is reference frame — knowing whether a sponsor’s fees are normal, whether interest alignment is adequate, whether the comps are cherry-picked. Agents have that scaffolding because they live in real estate every day. Second, agents may be able to claim Real Estate Professional Status, which “supercharges your post-tax returns in real estate and makes it very difficult to justify investing anywhere else.” Combined with bonus depreciation and 1031 exchanges, the math on after-tax returns shifts meaningfully in real estate’s favor. Third, time. A $400,000-a-year agent doesn’t have the bandwidth to deal with “tenants, toilets, and termites” on a side rental — and Rob frames syndications as a form of delegation, no different than hiring out cleaning or bookkeeping.

He also positions syndications as a kind of self-built retirement vehicle for agents. As deals refinance or sell, proceeds can roll into the next deal, compounding pre-tax through 1031 exchanges — what Rob calls “stay rich money,” distinct from the “get rich money” agents generate from their core business.

How has underwriting changed since interest rates rose — and what is a conservative model now?

This is where Rob’s framework gets sharpest. In the pre-rate-hike era, sponsors took two things for granted: value-add execution (kitchens, baths, paint, flooring, +$100–$200 in rent) and organic market rent growth. Both have broken down. Supply surged across the Sunbelt — Arizona, Texas, the Carolinas, Florida — at the same moment the country curbed immigration and capital costs spiked. “We curbed demand, massively increased supply, and increased the cost of capital,” Rob summarizes. The result: renovation budgets are higher, but the rent premium that used to justify them has evaporated.

The tell, Rob says, is in the rent roll. On a 100-unit property that’s 50% renovated and 90% occupied overall, the vacancy is typically clustered in the renovated, higher-priced units, while the cheaper unrenovated units are nearly full. “There’s a flight to affordability and the renovations are just not generating an ROI.” His prescription for today: prioritize renewal rate over rent push. A renewal is the holy grail of cash flow — you keep a paying tenant for another 12 months with essentially zero turnover cost, no marketing, no concessions, no down time.

A conservative model today, in Rob’s view, also means much less leverage. LSCRE typically uses 50% to 65% loan-to-value, roughly a one-to-one or one-to-1.5 equity-to-debt ratio. Compare that to operators running at 75% to 80% LTV, which is one part equity to three or four parts debt. “Anything goes wrong and poof, your whole investment is gone.”

What red flags should an investor look for in a sponsor’s pro forma?

Rob is direct that this is the hardest part of “passive” investing: “This is the least passive part of passive investing — the work up front in vetting the person and the deal.” He gives passive investors a concrete checklist. Start with rent comparables. Agents already know that a comp 10 miles away isn’t really a comp, and they can spot when a sponsor is cherry-picking properties in slightly better locations to justify projected rents. Look for “build it and they will come” thinking on renovations — sponsors who assume a $15,000 unit upgrade automatically commands a rent premium “because they spent the money.” Tenants pay market rate, not sponsor input cost.

Then check skin in the game — but with nuance. Rob says: “Show me the incentives and I’ll show you the outcome.” If a sponsor worth $100 million invests $100,000 into their own deal while collecting a million-dollar acquisition fee, that’s lip service. He recommends asking sponsors point-blank: what is the most you have ever personally invested in one of your deals, and what does that figure represent relative to your net worth? That question separates true alignment from posturing.

Finally, watch out for a sponsor who closes a new deal every month. “That’s a conveyor belt,” Rob warns. “Question what that means for quality control.” A real edge, in his view, is the discipline to walk away: “The best deal you ever do is walking away from the wrong deal.”

Why are LSCRE’s projected returns lower than competitors’ — and is that actually a feature?

This may be the most counterintuitive lesson in the episode. The most common pushback Rob hears from prospective investors is that LSCRE’s projected returns are too low — a 15% IRR projection when the deal down the street is showing 20%. His answer, in his own words:

“The projected return on the spreadsheet is actually the least important number, because that number could be whatever the sponsor wants it to be. You can just plug in numbers and make it work.”

LSCRE projects lower returns on purpose, for two reasons. First, they buy in better locations, which naturally trade at lower in-place yields but compound through appreciation. Second, they use materially less debt. A 4x-levered deal should model higher projected returns — investors should demand compensation for that risk. The mistake is treating those higher projections as a free upgrade. Savvy long-term investors, Rob says, eventually learn to “trade away what the number looks like on the spreadsheet for what performance is going to be like in reality.” That lesson, he notes, is usually learned the hard way.

How should an agent think about syndication returns versus their core business?

Rob is unusually frank about expectations. A $100,000 investment delivering 6% cash-on-cash is roughly $500 a month — meaningful, but “not life-changing money.” He stresses that syndications can’t compete with a real estate business firing on all cylinders. “If you can spend the money to open another location, bring on another agent, scale your marketing — that’s going to be a way higher ROI than syndication. That’s your get-rich money. Over here in the syndication space, this is your stay-rich money. You don’t want to approach it with the wrong mindset, because you are going to be let down.”

That framing — get rich from your business, stay rich through syndications — is the throughline of the whole episode. It’s also, Rob notes, the best protection against the get-rich-quick schemes that prey on desperate investors. “The most successful, the most wealthy real estate investors I know don’t want the deal to return capital in three years. They invested the money. The purpose was to put the money out, not to get it back.”

Build Lasting Wealth on Your Terms

The big takeaway from Rob Beardsley’s conversation on the REI Agent Podcast is that the next five years may reward patience, lower leverage, better locations, and a clear-eyed understanding of what passive investing really means. Agents are uniquely positioned — they have the context, the potential tax treatment, and the relationship-based business that generates the surplus capital syndications were designed to preserve and compound.

If you want to keep building the life you want, listen to the full episode for Rob’s golden nuggets on negotiation, sponsor due diligence, and his two books — The Definitive Guide to Underwriting Multifamily Acquisitions and Structuring and Raising Debt and Equity for Real Estate. And when you’re ready to layer this kind of long-term strategy into the rest of your business, head over to REI Agent Advisor for guidance built around the way real estate agents actually grow.

Full Episode Transcript

Welcome back to the REI Agent. My guest today is Rob Beardsley, a multifamily syndicator, financial modeling expert, and author who has built a reputation for teaching investors how to underwrite apartment deals with precision and discipline. Rob is known for cutting through the noise and multifamily investing and helping both new and experienced investors understand what the numbers actually mean before they commit capital. In a market where proformas can be widely optimistic and interest rate assumptions have shifted everything, his framework for rigorous deal analysis has never been more relevant. Rob, welcome to the REI Agent Podcast. Thanks for having me. Yeah, Rob. It’s been a bit of a difficult season the past couple of years for the multifamily space. Certainly, yeah. I mean, we’re going through a classic cycle. They don’t all look the same, but the ramifications are all a similar challenge dealing with lack of quality fundamentals, at the property level, which is what obviously you want to see. You want to see your revenue growing. You want to see the income of the property going up over time, which increases the value of the property over time. And then at the same time that you don’t have those things happening, you also are typically in a downturn hit with the negative sides associated with the capital markets. So interest rates going up, cap rates going up, underwriting standards from a lender perspective increasing. And so people are struggling, specifically those who bought in subprime locations and used more debt than they probably wish that they did today. Yeah. So things like bridge loans and that kind of stuff to kind of see their deal come to fruition. And then all of a sudden they’re kind of stuck holding these higher interest rates than they were expecting, right? Yeah. And a lot of people anticipated, let’s say something like a V-shaped recovery or interest rates coming back down quickly. And so it was like in 2023, 24, people were saying, well, it’s survived to 25. And then it’s, well, 25 didn’t save the day. So then maybe it’s heaven in 27. And we’ll see if that actually comes to pass because this is not a V-shaped recovery. This is a long prolonged reset where interest rates and cap rates are fundamentally just higher. And that’s not to say that they won’t ever go down again. They will, it’s a cycle, right? So it doesn’t only move in one direction, but it’s funny because wherever we are, like you said, the season, you kind of think that it’s only that way, right? When the market’s going up and up in 2021, for example, people couldn’t fathom that the market could go down. And then at the same time, people probably are having a hard time fathoming the market going up. They become allergic to good news. It’s true. You gotta understand that the fundamental concept of investing with the tulip craze, right? I mean, what’s the madness of crowds and delusions of, I can’t remember the exact title of that book, but where basically when everybody is fearful is the time to try to get greedy. And it’s really, you have to push your own brain to think that way, right? Because it’s not natural. And then when everybody’s greedy, it’s time to be more risk adverse. What is the single most important financial concept a new multifamily investor needs to truly understand before they sit down to analyze their first deal? And why do so many people get it wrong? Yeah, this is a very big topic and it’s kind of intimidating to approach because when you are new, you kind of, well, rightfully so, you don’t really have the expertise to opine on certain assumptions and business plans. You just don’t have the expertise, right? If I got under the hood of a car or whatever, however a car works these days, I’m not an expert enough to say, well, this is wrong or this needs to be fixed or we can improve this. It’s the same thing with someone who’s a new real estate investor looking at a business plan or a potential acquisition. They don’t have the context. So really the biggest thing that would serve a new investor is building that context. And the way that you do that is through getting some reps and getting exposure to different people in different deals. Because if you only have experience looking at one deal, then that’s your frame of reference. So if you are investing passively into syndication and you’ve only ever looked at one company’s deals, you might not know whether those fees are normal, high, low, whether the alignment of interests is adequate, inadequate or simply above average, below average. So getting context is the biggest thing, but it’s hard because, well, it’s hard for various reasons, right? It takes time, you have to build a network, you kind of have to put in the effort. But the other thing too is that new investors, myself included, when I got started, you have a lot of energy, you have a lot of excitement. You just want to put that first check out, you want to own real estate, you want to get there as fast as possible. So you have to fight that urge and channel that excitement into productively building out your context. Sure, so let’s say that me and you get on an elevator and I ask you what you do. You’re like, I’m in real estate. It’s like, oh, I’m a realtor. Are you a realtor, what do you do? And you explain that you run syndications. Is that accurate? I should clarify first, I assume so. Yeah, yeah, I would say something like, oh, my company invests in multifamily properties and then I would follow it up potentially with my one-liner. I’d say we deliver monthly cash flow and peace of mind through tax-advantaged multifamily investments. There you go. I was going to say, what’s the elevator pitch that would help somebody who doesn’t really understand what syndications are get it? And that makes a ton of sense. Can you explain a little bit why, for a realtor in specific, the syndication, this kind of structure would make a lot of sense or could make a lot of sense? Yeah, well, it definitely makes a lot of sense, I would say, for everybody. But when we zoom into a realtor, it becomes even more poignant because realtors, number one, are in the game already, already have exposure to real estate, already understand the fundamentals. So that context gap or bridging that barrier is much lower. And so that’s number one. Number two is the potential opportunity to claim real estate professional status. So I’m not a CPA, I’m not giving advice, obviously, but if a realtor is able to take advantage or anyone finds themselves in a situation where they’re able to claim real estate professional status, that just supercharges your post-tax returns in real estate and makes it very difficult to justify investing anywhere else. Now, of course, there’s a million places to invest and a million philosophies about diversification and this and that, but when you just break it down simply and say, okay, sure, stocks and real estate have similar returns, but then you look at the post-tax results, especially as a real estate professional, real estate pulls out way ahead. And so we can dive into the details about bonus depreciation and how you can use that in different contexts, as well as marrying that with a 1031 exchange. These are probably things that if you’re a realtor listening to this, you get it. You’ve heard of a 1031 exchange, you maybe have done one or have helped a client do one. So these are things that scale naturally. I have a friend who’s doing a 1031 exchange on a rental their family has owned for a ton of years and it’s a million dollar exchange. We’ve also helped some of our investors do many million dollar exchanges, 20, $30 million exchanges into deals with us in institutional quality assets. So the same principles apply. That’s the beauty of real estate is you can cut your teeth, you can be a realtor in single family, and then you can apply those same concepts to doing $100 million deals. Yeah, well, let’s break down what that would look like. Like let’s maybe use a hypothetical deal to kind of actually parse out how somebody, yeah, like this agent, let’s say they’re doing really well making $400,000 a year. And they are not, they’re so busy with their sales, they don’t really want to get into a single family rental or a townhouse or a condo, but they do wanna put their money into real estate. Ideally, let’s do a hypothetical type of deal that you guys would take on and what that would look like for them. Yeah, so the deals that we typically do, so we’re based here in New York, but we have a portfolio of about 6,000 apartment homes across Texas. We’re vertically integrated with property management, construction management, and asset management in-house. So this really is the opposite of what it would look like if you wanted to do like a side gig or, everyone thinks that if they buy a rental and they kind of just manage it on the side, it’s something passive, but that’s the furthest thing from passive. As soon as you dip your toe in that, you’re gonna be dealing with the classic tenants, toilets and termites. And so that’s what we dedicate our lives to. So we’re over 200 people strong committed to just this. So that’s a fundamental difference that truly allows the realtor investor to be passive. And so that I think is key because time is money and realtors understand that. And for them, it’s way more valuable to allocate your time on figuring out how to get your next listing, get your next buyer, than it is to try to save some money on some management fees to go and unclog toilets yourself or whatever it is, the headache of the day, right? And so that’s a tough thing for people to understand, but it’s a fundamental concept of delegation. And it is a form of delegation, right? We don’t, if you have $400,000 income, you probably don’t clean your own house because your time is worth more than the dollars per hour that it costs for that service. So it’s the same concept of delegation. And so what we do is we target institutional quality assets in the suburbs that have some sort of supply moat because supply is one of the big things that killed results in this latest wave. And if you look throughout history, supply is often the culprit when performance really goes down. And so what we had is a 50 year boom, a 50 year record-breaking peak in construction of apartments in this country. And that massively affected the supply and demand across, particularly the Sunbelt. So we’re talking about Arizona, Texas, the Carolinas, Florida. And so what you see is when there’s a bunch of new apartments developed, rents go down, there’s more competition, there’s concessions where the new lease up deals are offering two, three months free, and that trickles down and affects every other property in the market. So, like I said, a big thing that we focus on are supply constraints. So we’re looking to invest where there is not a lot of supply growth, where there’s a moat where it’s difficult to develop because of the economics, the politics, the geography. So that for us sets the stage for a great medium to long-term investment where we feel confident that we’re going to get growing cashflow over time. And so what that looks like is typically when we acquire property in the first year, we’ll start out to distribute monthly distributions for investors at around 5%. And then that will grow over time to hopefully 6, 7, 8% as we continue to hold the deal. The kinds of deals that we like are the ones that get better with age rather than the ones that actually decay with time, which I would call those things like hot potatoes. And so that would be something like a really older property that may be marketed to you as a value-add deal and say, hey, it’s another way of saying this is a junky property that we’re gonna try to put lipstick on. And so, yes, there is a time and place for value-add, but far too often you see essentially just bad quality real estate marketed to you as a value-add. So we generally avoid that. We wanna buy a high quality location first. And then if the quality of the real estate is secondary to us, which I think realtors can definitely appreciate that, it’s the classic ugly house on the nice block. No, that makes sense, yeah. And so when coming into a deal like this, so you would have maybe a minimum of an investment that somebody could provide. Let’s say that’s $100,000. Is that in the ballpark? Yeah, our minimum is 100,000 today. So that’s pretty standard in our industry. And we’re looking at what kind of deal. So first of all, a limited partner, when you’re coming in and investing that money as this agent would be, they have the ability to analyze the deal at the beginning. You’re gonna provide them some documentation. You’re gonna give an overview of the market, the deal, et cetera. But then after they commit that money, what jobs do they have? What does that look like to them? Yeah, so that’s the best part. There really is no responsibility beyond the initial contribution. And what we provide, so like you said, before the deal closes, while we’re under contract, we provide the pitch deck, the PPM, which is a private placement memorandum, which really has all the disclosures and risk factors. And then there’s also the operating agreement which governs the partnership. And we typically will also host a live webinar, invite all our investors to join, we’ll answer all their questions. And that kind of kicks off our fundraising efforts. We typically raise somewhere between 20 to $30 million on a deal. And we typically do about four deals per year. At least fingers crossed, hopefully we find a new good deal soon. It’s not always easy just to go out there and find a great deal, right? So we, I guess I’ll share one of my golden nuggets from later that I thought of, but the best deal you do is the one that you actually don’t do, the one that you walk away from, right? So that’s something just to be wary of, is some of our competitors, we see them operate like on a conveyor belt where there’s just a new deal every month. And you just have to call into question, well, what does that mean? What sort of quality control is that? And so on and so forth. So that’s just kind of a little bit step two of getting to know your sponsor and understanding how they operate. But once we actually close the deal, right? So we raise all the funds, funding is closed, we close the deal. Then after about a full month of ownership, we’ll commence monthly distributions. And so what we provide investors is a monthly ACH distribution to their bank account in conjunction with a monthly update, which contains the full financial package as well. And so the full financial package is the trailing 12 month profit and loss statement, the rent roll, the balance sheet, the cashflow statement. Full accounting essentially. And then also we provide just quick kind of snapshot updates like, oh, hey, as part of our business plan, for example, a deal that we acquired in December, it was a great opportunity because the property had a lot of townhomes, which is awesome for families and it just creates stickier tenants. And that’s just a great demographic that we target. And some of the townhomes had private yards, but on the other side of the street, for whatever reason, the property did not have private yards. So it was part of our business plan to add private yards, which is very simple, right? You just throw up a yard and extend it back and that increases the rent or we’re able to increase the rent by about $120 per month. So the ROI on that is tremendous because we’re talking about spending a few thousand dollars to put up the private fencing. And then now we’re collecting an extra a hundred plus dollars per month. And so just the most recent monthly update for that deal was, hey, we fully completed all of the private yards. Which I think there was about 40 of them to do. So that’s just an example of the narrative, the qualitative of what’s actually going on on the ground, coupled with the numbers, like, hey, we’re going to be refinancing soon. We’re going to be increasing distributions. Unfortunately, we’re going to be pausing distributions because of troubles. So those are the types of communications that you as a passive investor should expect from your sponsor, but nothing is really required of you in that, which is great and which I think is really valuable because even if you’re a passive investor and you don’t read every single report, which obviously you don’t want to have to, right? You want to be passive, but you want to actually feel the comfort that that information flow is happening every single month. Sure. Yeah, yeah, no, I definitely haven’t read everything once I’ve been invested in, but I’m sure if anything, like if there is a pause, I’m sure that’s when a lot of people are going to want to make sure that there’s information about that, for example. How has a deal underwriting changed since interest rates rose? What specific assumptions are you stress testing differently today compared to a few years ago? And what does a conservative model actually look like right now? Yeah, so that’s a great question. The fundamental change, I would say, from let’s say the pre-interest rate increase period, the top of the market, if you will, was people back then were taking value-add plans and I’ll explain what that is in more detail, as well as just market organic rent growth for granted. So because the market was going up and up, people were assuming that if they bought that value-add deal, like I said, the sub-institutional, the older rundown property, they’d be able to throw some renovations on it, upgrade the kitchen, upgrade the bathrooms, new paint, new flooring, and they would be able to increase rents by $100, $200, whatever was necessary to justify the cost, and then some. And the reason why people assume that is because it was true. It was happening, it was working, and people were seeing a lot of success. So when trying to replicate that success, people would go on to the next deal and they’d be looking to project the same business plan again. And then what we found out was not only did interest rates go up, but we had a few massive changes happen in the country. One, like I mentioned before, we had the supply change. That was a big thing. And then another thing that’s maybe slightly less talked about is we did, in fact, close the borders. We didn’t do mass deportations, but we did close the borders. So there was a stoppage of this massive influx of immigrants which was obviously putting pressure on housing and increasing demand. So basically, we curb demand, massively increase supply, and then we also increase the cost of capital through interest rates. And so now you have this new environment where you can’t take value-add for granted. You can’t take rent increases for granted. And so I think people were a little bit slow to that because a lot of people got very comfortable and happy with the results of their renovations and rent increases, and they thought they were kind of forcing it and still pushing for it, even though the result was no longer there. You’re spending the same money, if not more money, because costs are up. So you’re spending more money on the renovation, but at the same time, you’re not getting the rent increase that you need to justify the cost. If anything, rents have been going down the last three years. So when the rents are going against you and there’s a bunch of competition, instead of renovations, you should be looking at how to conserve capital, how to actually lower your rents and stay profitable, how to actually increase your renewal rate because your renewal rate’s the best way to better cashflow. And what a renewal rate in multifamily is basically the percentage of tenants of which have their leases expiring actually choose to stay and renew their lease for another 12-month term. That’s the holy grail of cashflow because you basically just earned their business for the next 12 months for a cost of what could be $0 because you didn’t have to go in and turn over the unit and fix it up for the next tenant or make renovations. You didn’t have to offer marketing incentives to your team or leasing concessions, moving incentives to the tenant. So a renewal is the holy grail for cashflow. And the best operators have really focused on that rather than on how much can I raise rent, if I spend the money, $10,000, $20,000, how much can I raise the rent? And my last point on this I’ll say is the people that have been, I would say, if you wanna say stubborn in trying to make this work, you can see it in their rent roll because you actually look, let’s say they have a 100-unit property. You can see that if they renovated 50% of the units and the property is, let’s say, 90% occupied, that 10% vacancy is clustered in the renovated units. That’s often what we find. And then the unrenovated units that are consequently cheaper, you actually see that those are the higher percent occupied of the property. So you’re just seeing that there’s a flight to affordability and the renovations are just not generating an ROI. Yeah, that’s really interesting. Definitely true from what I’ve seen on just my single-family portfolio, for sure. I mean, I think I kind of caught a lot of that, doing a lot of BRRRS and that kind of thing as we were seeing it. Seemed like you could throw out any number almost to get the rent to higher and to make the numbers work, et cetera, and then definitely feels a lot different now. Single-family, increasing rent, that kind of stuff, that probably makes a lot more sense to most people if they’re not as familiar with syndications and cap rates and that kind of stuff. Can you explain a little bit about how drastic, good and bad, how cap rates impact valuation, how having those vacancy rates higher or having the rent go up by $25 or down by $50, how big that can make a difference in these kind of deals and why people should really pay attention to these kind of details? Yeah, this is the fundamental math of commercial real estate obviously includes the cap rate, right? And so cap rate, if you flip it around, is essentially an earnings multiple, right? If you’re looking at businesses, valuations. And so for example, a five cap, if you flip it around, is essentially a property being worth 20 times its income. And then similarly, a four cap or a 4% cap rate is a property being worth 25 times its income. So you can see that although it’s just a change from four to five, it’s actually a pretty big jump in the valuation metric. So even without touching the income of a property, if you get a move in the cap rate at which the property is valued, you can have dramatic consequences in the positive or the negative. So we’ll start with the negative because that’s kind of the recent thing that happened. And so the negative is that the market was going up and up. So because of this exuberance and because of the low interest rates, people were willing to pay very low cap rates, even less than 4% for what they felt was growth real estate, growth multifamily. And then what we found is some of that very same property today is valued at closer to 6%. So that’s a massive drop from 25 times to about 16 and a half times the property’s value of income. So when you have that, you’re basically just trying to, you gotta grow your income a lot just to tread water, just to be worth the same as what you were before. And that’s very difficult, but it does happen. Obviously, rents do go up over time, and then that trickles down into the income of the property. And then of course, that can help increase the value of the property, even if the cap rate is now at a higher cap rate where the value multiplier is lower. But now let’s talk about the inverse because like you mentioned, be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful, right? On the backs or on the heels of what I just described, people are going to be more fearful. And so that’s where we’re at today. In fact, consumer sentiment actually is at an all-time low, which is a really crazy statistic because we’re not in a great financial crisis. We’re not during COVID, yet our consumer sentiment across the country is weaker than those periods, which is truly something very odd, very weird. But that tells you, that speaks to the mind of the consumer, and it also has a bit, I know the consumer and the investor aren’t the same exact thing, but it kind of just paints a picture of where we are today. And another thing that paints the picture today is if you just look at cap rates, right? If you can buy something today at a six cap that was worth four, I’m not saying it’s going to go back to four, and I’m not saying it’s going to get there overnight, but it is going to go lower. And that is a very powerful driver of wealth, you know, of growing your wealth over time. When you actually buy, when cap rates are higher, and then they come down, because you could see a property without even the rents going up, you could see it going from $20 million in value to $30 million in value rather quickly. And if you couple that with buying in an area where rents do actually go up, now you’re talking about the property going from $20 million in value to potentially $40 million in value, because the cap rate move did half the hard work to get you to 30, and then income going up got you the other 10 million to 40. So that’s just obviously oversimplified, but an example of how these can be very big moves off of what you said, kind of small numbers, like, hey, we’re getting $25 of rent increase per year, but you stack that five years in a row, that’s where we’re, in my opinion, I think that’s where we’re headed over the next five years. Yeah, and also, if every single door has a $25 increase in rent, and you have 1,000 doors, that obviously adds up a lot as well. And then if you factor that in with the cap rates, the amount of value that creates is huge as well. But that is a really good point about the changing of the cap rates, which I don’t think many people have talked on this show about, so that was really interesting. Thank you for explaining that. What makes, I mean, kind of speaking of this, what makes the syndicators pro forma credible versus unrealistic, and what are the specific red flags in underwriting that should make a passive investor stop and ask hard questions before writing a check? I would say this is the hardest part, because like I said before, there’s an asymmetrical knowledge relationship here where I’m the sponsor of the investment, this is what I do full-time, I know this better than you. I’m not saying you specifically, I’m just saying kind of in general, right, the passive investor. And so the way that that makes it difficult, because if I tell you, hey, this is what the number should be, it’s hard because you are, the passive investor is not really in a position to quote disagree or claim that they know more, but that’s kind of exactly what they need to be able to do in order to safely invest in passive syndications. So this is the least passive part of passive investing. It’s actually the work up front in vetting the person and the deal, and then therefore the numbers. And so, like I said, the number one thing that you can do is context. And like I said, that is not passive, it does take time, it does take work, but what I would encourage is just to start somewhere and to focus on the basics and ask questions on the basics. So the first basics thing I would ask is rent comparables. And this is something that realtors can understand pretty readily with, whether it’s rentals or sales comparables, right? We all understand that a property 10 miles away is not as good of a comp or isn’t even a comp at all compared to a property that is only one mile away or even less. So that’s obviously very basic, but then you just keep stacking on more comparables analysis type things like, okay, well, yes, this is a one bedroom unit and that’s a one bedroom unit as well, but one of them is much larger or smaller or might be school district differences and things like that. So I would just ask for the comps and to see kind of how they’re being presented and are they cherry picked? Like they’re ignoring a certain property that has lower rents or something and they’re just picking a property that’s kind of in a slightly better location. That will just give you some insight into what the plan is, because with comps, you also want to understand where are we taking the property? Because if the plan is to, let’s say, renovate the property, then you want to see the justification. You can’t take a build it and they will come mentality. You can’t just say, well, we’re gonna spend $15,000 on the unit and therefore it’s going to get higher rent because the tenants don’t care. The tenants will pay what the market rate is. So yeah, I would say definitely focus on comps because that will give you a great insight into the viability of the business plan. I think this is where being a realtor, kind of like you said, it’s easy to understand. The comps thing is obviously what we do day in and day out. And if you compare it to investing in stocks, this is a business that you’re investing in, but you’re investing in a specific deal. We’re not investing in your whole company. If we’re buying this, we’re buying a complex or whatever with you. And if you think about it, Warren Buffett sits around and just reads all day. He reads about businesses. I mean, that’s what I’ve heard at least. And then he is able to truly understand that business well enough to make a huge investment, right? I think for a realtor, it seems obvious that we would be interested in investing in something like this because we understand it. And I think how, if you invest in S&P 500, for example, like you’d certainly don’t have a great understanding of all those businesses you’re investing in. And if you’re doing something a little bit more trendy, you’re trying to get a solo stock, like an NVIDIA or whatever, you may have a basic understanding, but you’re certainly not going to really understand that space. Most people probably won’t understand that space like they would a simple real estate deal where you do have comps, you have things that are within your wheelhouse, even if it’s not your area, that you can fall back on to understand the fundamentals of and make an informed decision on. So I think that’s something, as you were mentioning, it just kind of stuck out to me because, yeah, I’m not saying that nobody should invest in stocks at all, but this often I’ve thought of syndications as being kind of like a realtor’s 401k plant that they can take advantage of right away. If you, often syndications will, there’ll be a cash out refinance or a sale where your money will either be returned to you, ideally, or, and you still have ownership in the property, or you will, maybe they’ll sell for a profit and you’ll get X amount above what you invested. If you start investing in these, you could just roll those into the next one, et cetera. And essentially it can be like a retirement plan where you are really able to, as long as you’re vetting it well at the beginning and have good operators, et cetera, you are able to kind of set it and forget it. Yeah, absolutely. I think that’s a really good point. I love that realtors kind of have that, not cheat code, but just way ahead of the game when it comes to understanding this. And that makes it so much more realistic to actually develop the expertise. Whereas if someone is not even in real estate to begin with and you’re asking them to, hey, do the comps, right? That’s gonna be a really tough ask. And it may be paralysis by analysis to where they actually don’t even get started on their real estate investing journey at all. Yeah, and by the way, I don’t, I wouldn’t say syndications are the obvious thing for everybody always. And I think there is great value to also building up your own portfolio. We didn’t really touch as to oftentimes how you need to be an accredited investor to invest in syndications. And that’s a million dollars in net worth outside of your primary residency or earning, what is it, 200,000 solo? 250, I think. 250, and then 300 joint if you’re married? Yes. Something like that. And so investing in real estate along the way, if you house hack, for example, and you just kind of build up a rental portfolio, that’s a great way to turn just your basic need for housing into something that can be turned into bigger investments like this, even if you never meet the income requirements of an accredited investor. And there could be some deals where, depending on your risk tolerance, you might take a home equity line of credit out and invest in a syndication instead of selling or using your savings. So anyway, it’s a really important thing that I don’t think a ton of people know about if you’re in residential real estate. So I think it’s a really great thing for people to learn. With that, do you have some golden nuggets for our listeners? Yeah, I’m actually gonna audible and switch out one of my golden nuggets because of what you mentioned there. And I think it’s an important point. I was actually talking with a friend over the weekend about this as well. If you are new to investing, we’ll just keep it to the topic of syndications, and you hear about, let’s say, for example, for us, a great deal is a 15% IRR, let’s say, which is very standard. And to equate that to real numbers, let’s just call it a 2X equity multiple in five years. So if you invest $100,000 with us today, across a five-year period, ideally we can, through monthly distributions and the profits upon sale, we can actually 2X your capital. So if you count the distributions along the way plus the profit upon sale, you should be looking at a total of 200,000 after the five-year period. So if you break that down, that’s about 20% per year, which is really good. That’s amazing. And on 100,000, that’s actually $20,000. That’s a meaningful amount. But number one, that’s a good deal. Number two, that’s not cash flow. The cash flow is more like 5%, 6%, 7%. So on 100,000, that’s $5,000 a year. That’s really, we’re talking about hundreds of dollars a month. It’s not life-changing money. So I would really encourage people to think through this and really kind of come to terms and understand what investing like this means, because it’s not going to make you rich. It’s not going to all of a sudden change your lifestyle. If anything, it’s going to make your lifestyle poorer because you could have taken that 100,000 and bought some fancy stuff and felt great, right? And instead, you’re kind of making yourself poor because you just traded away 100,000 of today money to 600 bucks a month money, right? So it’s really playing the long game. It’s really thinking about things from a wealth preservation and growth over time model. And the money that you can make in, let’s say syndications or really most types of investing like this is not going to compete with the money that you can make from your business. So if you’re a realtor and you’re treating your job like a business, which is amazing, then your business is going to give you the highest ROI. If you can spend the money to, I’m not a realtor, so I’m just kind of making stuff up here, right? But if that can empower you to open up a location or get another agent involved or whatever, scale up your business or spend more money on marketing so that you can get more potential listings, that’s going to be a way higher ROI than syndication. So I would just say that you cannot compare the two. You can’t say, well, if I put 100 grand in marketing, I’m gonna get millions of dollars in listing fees, right? Good, do that, right? That’s your get rich money. But over here in the syndication space, this is your stay rich money. So you don’t want to approach it with the wrong mindset because you are going to be let down. Yeah, that’s a really good point, really good perspective. You know, the ideal that I teach is if you can, so you wrote a book, we can talk about that here in a second, but I wrote, I’m in the process of getting a book out and kind of talking about it from a young, hustling person who wants to get into real estate, investing, they’re excited about investing, excited about sales, all of it. How can they kind of build up their business? And I think building up both can make a lot of sense. And being 100% passive, if you will, is one area that would be amazing. So you could start off with like a house hack where you have the rooms rented out and you’re not having expenses from your housing because your rooms are rented out and paying for the mortgage. And then you can save up for another one and, you know, rinse and repeat, et cetera, to the point where, you know, soon your other bills, your whatever, car insurance, your insurance, is all being covered by rentals as well. And so, you know, if you can build up your lifestyle that way, that’s where you can, and again, this is ideal. This is like probably most people will not do this. But if you can build up your lifestyle this way, you’ll never be worried about, you know, getting that lifestyle creep. Like, because you’re basically living off of the wealth, the long-term gains that you’re building. And syndications is definitely one of the ways to do it. You said 600 bucks or whatever a month isn’t that much. It’s not get rich money, but if people are honest about what their, you know, single family rentals bring in, $600 would be pretty good. So, you know, it’s like you said, it is not a get rich quick scheme. And I would say be careful of most of those get rich quick schemes. Exactly, right. Yeah, if you have this mentality, and I’ll segue this into my next nugget, if you have this mentality of not, this is not my get rich vehicle, this is my stay rich vehicle, and, you know, I have the right expectations, that’s gonna protect you from those get rich quick schemes. It’s the people that are desperate and acting out in desperation, for whatever reason it might be, that leads them more often than not into trouble because they’re going to fall prey to someone who is promising them, yeah, we can double your money in two years, and we’ll give it, you know, you get it right back right away, and all that sort of stuff. See, the most successful, the most wealthy real estate investors that I know, they don’t want the deal to return capital back in three years, right? They invested the money, and they, that was the purpose, right? The purpose is to put the money out, not to get the money back. So they have a fundamentally different mindset. They want long-term holds, you know, they disdain selling, they obviously utilize 1031 exchanges to compound their wealth pre-tax. So yeah, that’s a big thing. So, and that rolls into my nugget of, the projected return on the spreadsheet is actually the least important number, because one, that number could be whatever the sponsor wants it to be, right? You can just plug in numbers and make it work, but the reality is what, and I’m gonna kind of talk my own book here and get on my soapbox a little bit, because what we do is we project a little bit lower returns than I would say many of our competitors. So the most common objection that we hear when we talk to potential investors is they say our returns are too low, and, or to be more specific, our projected returns for the deal that they’re considering are too low, right? We’re projecting, let’s say, 15%, but someone down the street is offering them 20%, and the deals look similar, so it’s like, well, if all things are equal, why don’t I go for the 20? And what I would say here is that it’s not that we are lazy or less talented or whatever the case is, and therefore our returns are projected as lower. It’s not because the deal is any different. It’s actually because we are approaching the deal from two fundamentally different ways. One, we are targeting properties that are in better locations, which are naturally going to be lower returns, right? I think single family or realtors can understand that, that if you buy a property in the best location, it may not even cash flow at all, right? But you know the appreciation’s gonna be there. So we want that. That’s what we want to skew towards rather than buying a deal that there’s more cash flow but maybe no appreciation. And then the other thing is the use of debt. That’s something that we didn’t probably talk about enough, but in our space, less is more in a big, big way. So we use, let’s say something closer to 50% leverage or 65%, which if you flip that around, that’s basically one part equity, one part debt, or maybe at the most, one part equity, two parts debt. I’d say more like 1.5 on average. And that’s very different than someone who’s using, let’s say 75% leverage or 80% leverage, which is actually one part equity, three parts debt or even one to four ratio, right? You’re 4X levered, anything goes wrong and poof, your whole investment is gone. And so, yeah, in a situation like that, your returns should be projected as higher because you should be compensated for that risk. And so that’s a trade that savvy investors over time, one way or another, realize it’s not worth making. I would rather trade away what the number looks like on the spreadsheet for what performance is going to be like in reality. And I’ve learned that the hard way, and I’m sure the majority of people that have ended up in this situation have learned it the hard way where they use too much debt and they did not get the results that they were hoping for, right? Because they were hoping for that 20%. And instead, now they’re struggling with the zero or with even losing capital, right? So that is not what you want. What you want is something that is built for the longterm, quality location, quality product and less debt, the better. And that is what’s going to put you in a position for longterm success, because like you said, this is not get rich quick. How long are you all typically, are you mostly buy and hold then? And then are you mostly like fairly long holds? Or do you do sell after five years sometimes, et cetera? Yeah, I would say five to seven years is kind of what we target. Got it, cool. Sorry, do you have another gold nugget? Well, I kind of merged a couple nuggets there. And then I also teased one of my nuggets from earlier. I said, no deal is better than a bad one, right? The best deal you ever do is walking away from the wrong deal. And that’s something that is critically important, especially when you’re getting started. That’s a really hard thing to do, I think, for a lot. And then you factor in, and this is something that is a bit of the dark side of the syndication space that people need to be aware of, is that there are like fees for putting the deal together. And there are operators that have been accused of doing deals just to get that income on the deal being completed. And that helps them keep the lights on. And that forces them sometimes to buy deals that maybe aren’t as good. Is that fair? Yeah, it’s super fair. I mean, I think we all can appreciate that everyone needs to make a living and they need income. So like Charlie Munger says, show me the incentives and I’ll show you the outcome, right? So that is, you gotta put your money where your mouth is. And so one thing that I think is a telling indicator, it’s not the end all, be all, and it’s also nuanced, but a telling indicator is figuring out how much is the sponsor investing into the deal themselves, right? Like if I’m asking you to put $100,000 into the deal, well, am I myself putting $100,000 into the deal, right? And then also, $100,000, depending on who’s listening, may or may not be a lot of money to someone, right? And you wanna know, I know this sounds a little invasive, but you wanna know how rich is the sponsor because if the sponsor is worth 100 million and they’re putting $100,000 into the deal, that’s meaningless to them, right? Especially if they stand to make a million dollar fee, then it’s like, okay, you’re kind of just paying lip service and you’re just appeasing me, right? So it’s really powerful. Like I remember, for example, on our second deal, we were really blessed to partner with a family office. They were like a hybrid family office, private equity firm, very sophisticated and like old school, just really interesting experience to work with them. And I learned a lot with them. And I just remember that they didn’t flinch when I said that I was investing 100,000 into the deal, which I was worried would be a concern because a lot of big investors, private equity firms, they want to see the sponsor put in 10% of the equity. Well, 10% of the equity could be hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars, depending on the deal size. And so, but they understood that, yeah, this is essentially a broke kid doing his second deal and he’s putting 100 grand in. And they said it themselves, we know that, or we have experienced that when someone new is putting essentially their life savings into the deal, it’s 100 grand, they’re gonna do everything to make that deal work out. Whereas the guy who’s already done 10, 20 deals and he’s made it and he’s putting in whatever, it’s just not as meaningful, right? That’s a platform already. And fortunately they were right and we did knock it out of the park for them and they got an amazing outcome on that deal. Nice. Yeah, otherwise it’s kind of like that rich person in the old movies where they like throw a little bag of change. Exactly. Yeah, it’s a rounding error, they forgot about it already. No, but yeah, like that, yeah, having, I think it is very common to just to put in the fee when you’re in this space, like that you’re acquiring a fee, you can choose just to reinvest it instead of putting your own capital in. But I think, as you were saying that, I was thinking like I would be curious and maybe a really good question is like, what’s the most you’ve ever invested into a syndication you’ve been a GP in? And like, yeah, like just kind of getting an idea of how much they’re investing now compared to other ones. And then to your point, like how much of their world is what they’re putting in? How much risk are they really taking? Pretty interesting. Rob, you, I wanna ask you about your book and then I wanna hear about your favorite book. So interested, you’re an author, so you wrote a book as well? What’s that book? Yes, so I published two books. The first one was called The Definitive Guide to Underwriting Multifamily Acquisitions. So that, you know, today we didn’t really talk about numbers, brass tacks, that book is exactly that. There’s no fluff, it’s just literally step by step, straightforward, how do you crunch every single number that goes into the deal? And then I followed that up with my second book, which is called Structuring and Raising Debt and Equity for Real Estate, which really goes to step two in terms of, okay, you’ve crunched the numbers, but now how do you actually close, right? And so the formula for closing from a capital perspective is debt and equity. So you need to be able to structure it, right? And you need to be able to actually raise it. You need to be able to go to the lender, get the loan, you need to be able to go investors and get the money. So that’s what book number two is about. Okay, very good. And what about a fundamental book that you think everybody should read or just one that you’re currently enjoying? Yeah, so this has been one of my top books for a very long time. It’s called Getting More by Professor Stuart Diamond. This is a very practical negotiation book. And I know a lot of people hear negotiation, they think like, okay, you know, me versus you and like hard line type stuff, like art of war or whatever, or 48 Laws of Power, but this is not that. This is much more, I would say, like practical and useful on a day-to-day basis, whether you’re negotiating for a candy bar. I guess funny, because I’m rereading this book right now, and I’ll explain actually why I’m rereading it in one second, but because I’m in the midst of reading it, it would basically, one of the things he recommends is like try to negotiate everything in your life. And so my wife and I, we were leaving the UFC fights in New Jersey over the weekend, and it was a madhouse trying to get an Uber or a taxi or whatever. And so it could have been an hour wait for an Uber, but instead there was a taxi that was taking someone and they wanted to take another group so that they could make twice the money on one taxi ride. And so he was kind of negotiating and like, you know, the taxi cost doesn’t really matter to me, but I made a point to negotiate it just because of this book. And I was like, well, let me test my strengths. It’s like, well, you know, if I pay cash, can I get this price? Like, and he’s like, no. And I was like, okay, fine, then I’ll pay card. And then, you know, and so then we ended up settling on a deal and I got home nice and safe and sound. So this, like I said, this book is very practical from negotiating a taxi ride to billion dollar deals. And the reason why I’m reading it is actually because we have Professor Stuart Diamond himself, who’s a Wharton professor, coming to our annual LSCRE Summit which is something that we host here at the office at the One World Trade Center in New York, where we invite our top investors, partners, and other leaders in the industry to come for a networking event. We do some workshops and this will be, the headline workshop will be a negotiation workshop held by Professor Stuart Diamond himself. And for those that register, they get a signed copy mailed to them so they can come prepared. Nice. If people want more information about that, about you, following you on social media, et cetera, where can they go? Yeah, you can find more information about our LSCRE Summit and all things to do with us at lscre.com. On the website you can download our underwriting model for free. That’s been downloaded over 30,000 times so we use that model every single day to analyze our acquisitions. You can also find links to the books and also get more information on the Summit if you want to go ahead and apply. Awesome. Well, Rob, thank you so much for being on the show. It was a lot of fun talking to you. Likewise, thanks for having me. Thanks for listening to the REI Agent. If you enjoyed this episode, hit subscribe to catch new shows every week. Visit REIAgent.com for more content. Until next time, keep building the life you want. All content in this show is not investment advice or mental health therapy. It is intended for entertainment purposes only.

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